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Post-Tropical Cyclone CARLOS Public Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ33 KNHC 172032
TCPEP3

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE CARLOS ADVISORY NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP032015
400 PM CDT WED JUN 17 2015

...CARLOS BECOMES A REMNANT LOW...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY...


SUMMARY OF 400 PM CDT...2100 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...20.2N 105.6W
ABOUT 15 MI...20 KM S OF CABO CORRIENTES MEXICO
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH...45 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NNW OR 330 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB...29.77 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
There are no coastal watches or warnings in effect.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 400 PM CDT (2100 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone Carlos
was located near latitude 20.2 North, longitude 105.6 West. The
post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the north-northwest near 7
mph (11 km/h), and this general motion is expected to continue until
dissipation occurs later tonight or Thursday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 30 mph (45 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional weakening is expected during the next day
or so, and Carlos is forecast to dissipate by Thursday.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 1008 mb (29.77 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
RAINFALL:  Carlos is expected to produce an additional rainfall
accumulation of around 1 inch across the Mexican state of
Jalisco.  These rains may produce life-threatening flash
floods and mudslides, especially in areas of higher terrain.

SURF:  Swells associated with Carlos will continue to affect the
coast of southwestern Mexico through tonight before subsiding on
Thursday. These swells could cause life-threatening surf and rip
currents.  Please consult products from your local weather office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system. For additional information on this remnant
low please see High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather
Service, under AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI,  WMO header FZPN01 KWBC, and
on the web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFEP1.shtml.

$$
Forecaster Stewart


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 17-Jun-2015 20:32:46 UTC