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Post-Tropical Cyclone HERMINE Public Advisory


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000
WTNT34 KNHC 061751
TCPAT4

BULLETIN
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE HERMINE SPECIAL ADVISORY NUMBER  38
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
200 PM EDT TUE SEP 06 2016

...ALL COASTAL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS DISCONTINUED...
...THIS IS THE LAST ADVISORY ON HERMINE...


SUMMARY OF 200 PM EDT...1800 UTC...INFORMATION
----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...39.4N 72.3W
ABOUT 120 MI...190 KM S OF THE EASTERN TIP OF LONG ISLAND
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...50 MPH...85 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...W OR 265 DEGREES AT 7 MPH...11 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...999 MB...29.50 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

All coastal tropical storm warnings are discontinued.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:

None.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 200 PM EDT (1800 UTC), the center of Post-Tropical Cyclone
Hermine was located near latitude 39.4 North, longitude 72.3 West.
The post-tropical cyclone is moving toward the west near 7 mph
(11 km/h). A decrease in forward speed is expected for the rest of
today, followed by a slow and erratic motion tonight and a
motion toward the northeast on Wednesday.

Maximum sustained winds have decreased to near 50 mph (85 km/h) with
higher gusts.  Additional gradual weakening is likely during the
next couple of days, and Hermine may weaken below tropical storm
force by Thursday.

Tropical-storm-force winds extend outward up to 115 miles (185 km)
from the center.

The estimated minimum central pressure is 999 mb (29.50 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Locally gusty winds over portions of Long Island and
southeastern New England should diminish during the next 24 hours.

STORM SURGE:  Water levels remain elevated along the coast of Long
Island, but they should subside during the next day or so as
Hermine exits the area.

RAINFALL:  Hermine is expected to produce additional light rainfall
amounts not exceeding 1 inch along the mid-Atlantic and southern New
England coastlines from New Jersey to eastern Long Island to
southeastern Massachusetts.

SURF:  Large waves generated by Hermine will continue to affect the
U.S. east coast from the mid-Atlantic states through New England
for another couple of days. These waves are likely to cause
life-threatening surf and rip current conditions, and significant
beach erosion.  Please consult products from your local weather
office.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
This is the last public advisory issued by the National Hurricane
Center on this system.  Additional information on this system can be
found in High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service,
under AWIPS header NFDHSFAT1, WMO header FZNT01 KWBC, and available
on the Web at http://www.opc.ncep.noaa.gov/shtml/NFDHSFAT1.shtml,
and in products issued by local National Weather Service Forecast
Offices.

$$
Forecaster Beven