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Hurricane FRED Public Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT31 KNHC 311458
TCPAT1

BULLETIN
HURRICANE FRED ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1100 AM AST MON AUG 31 2015

...STRONG WINDS AND HEAVY RAIN SPREADING NORTHWESTWARD
ACROSS THE NORTHERN AND NORTHWESTERN CAPE VERDE ISLANDS...


SUMMARY OF 1100 AM AST...1500 UTC...INFORMATION
-----------------------------------------------
LOCATION...16.4N 23.7W
ABOUT 45 MI...70 KM ESE OF RIBEIRA BRAVA IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
ABOUT 55 MI...90 KM WNW OF RABIL IN THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...85 MPH...140 KM/H
PRESENT MOVEMENT...NW OR 310 DEGREES AT 12 MPH...19 KM/H
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...986 MB...29.12 INCHES


WATCHES AND WARNINGS
--------------------
CHANGES WITH THIS ADVISORY:

None.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT:
A Hurricane Warning is in effect for...
* Cape Verde Islands

For storm information specific to your area, please monitor
products issued by your national meteorological service.


DISCUSSION AND 48-HOUR OUTLOOK
------------------------------
At 1100 AM AST (1500 UTC), the center of Hurricane Fred was located
near latitude 16.4 North, longitude 23.7 West. Fred is moving toward
the northwest near 12 mph (19 km/h) and this motion is expected to
continue through tonight.  A turn toward the west-northwest is
expected on Tuesday.  On the forecast track, the center of Fred is
expected to pass near or over the northwestern Cape Verde Islands
later today.

Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 85 mph (140 km/h)
with higher gusts.   Little change in strength is expected through
early tonight while Fred moves through the Cape Verde Islands.
Gradual weakening is forecast to begin on Tuesday.

Hurricane force winds extend outward up to 15 miles (30 km) from the
center and tropical storm force winds extend outward up to 80 miles
(130 km).

The estimated minimum central pressure is 986 mb (29.12 inches).


HAZARDS AFFECTING LAND
----------------------
WIND:  Tropical storm conditions are expected to continue spreading
across the northern Cape Verde Islands today.  Hurricane conditions
are occurring over portions of the northeastern Cape Verde Islands
and are expected to spread northwestward over portions of the
northern and northwestern Cape Verde Islands through tonight.

Wind speeds atop and on the windward sides of hills and mountains
are often up to 30 percent stronger than indicated in this advisory,
and in some elevated locations can be even greater.

STORM SURGE:  A storm surge is expected to produce coastal flooding
in areas of onshore winds in the Cape Verde Islands.  Near the
coast, the surge will be accompanied by large and dangerous waves.

RAINFALL:  Fred is expected to produce total rain accumulations of
4 to 6 inches over the Cape Verde Islands, with possible isolated
maximum amounts of 10 inches.  These rains could produce life-
threatening flash flooding and mudslides.


NEXT ADVISORY
-------------
Next intermediate advisory at 200 PM AST.
Next complete advisory at 500 PM AST.

$$
Forecaster Brown


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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Aug-2015 14:58:39 UTC