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Tropical Storm DARBY Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ25 KNHC 201431
TCMEP5

TROPICAL STORM DARBY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  36
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP052016
1500 UTC WED JUL 20 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 139.8W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  999 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE  90SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 139.8W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.9N 139.5W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 19.7N 141.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 40NE   0SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 19.4N 144.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 19.0N 146.4W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 80NE  50SE  40SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 18.8N 148.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 19.0N 152.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 20.5N 153.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 24.0N 155.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.9N 139.8W

THIS IS THE LAST FORECAST/ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON DARBY.  FUTURE INFORMATION ON DARBY CAN BE FOUND IN
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ISSUED BY THE CENTRAL PACIFIC HURRICANE CENTER
BEGINNING AT 2100 UTC...UNDER AWIPS HEADER HFOTCMCP3...WMO HEADER
WTPA23 PHFO.

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




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Page last modified: Wednesday, 20-Jul-2016 14:32:11 UTC