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Hurricane GUILLERMO Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 312032
TCMEP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092015
2100 UTC FRI JUL 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 134.8W AT 31/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  16 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 180SE 120SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.7N 134.8W AT 31/2100Z
AT 31/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 134.0W

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 13.3N 137.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 14.0N 140.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 14.8N 142.3W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.5N 144.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 17.0N 147.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1800Z 18.5N 150.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 19.5N 153.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.7N 134.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



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Page last modified: Friday, 31-Jul-2015 20:32:49 UTC