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Hurricane GUILLERMO Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010245
TCMEP4

HURRICANE GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092015
0300 UTC SAT AUG 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 136.1W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  17 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  970 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......100NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 210SE 150SW 210NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 136.1W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 135.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.7N 138.5W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.3N 141.1W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.0N 143.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.8N 145.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 17.0N 147.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 19.0N 150.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 20.5N 153.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 136.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN/JACOBSON



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Page last modified: Saturday, 01-Aug-2015 02:45:21 UTC