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Tropical Storm ISELLE Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 010224
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092014
0300 UTC FRI AUG 01 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 123.9W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.2N 123.9W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.0N 123.5W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 13.8N 125.1W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  30SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 126.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.2N 128.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.6N 130.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 16.5N 134.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 16.5N 136.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 16.5N 140.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.2N 123.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




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Page last modified: Friday, 01-Aug-2014 02:24:54 UTC