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Tropical Storm HILARY Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 230849
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM HILARY FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092017
0900 UTC SUN JUL 23 2017

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 101.6W AT 23/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 101.6W AT 23/0900Z
AT 23/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 101.0W

FORECAST VALID 23/1800Z 13.1N 102.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0600Z 13.9N 104.3W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  40SE  40SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 14.7N 105.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 15.5N 107.3W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 17.0N 111.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 100 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0600Z 18.0N 115.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 19.0N 118.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 101.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH



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Page last modified: Sunday, 23-Jul-2017 08:49:35 UTC