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Tropical Storm ISELLE Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 011433
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092014
1500 UTC FRI AUG 01 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 125.7W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 50NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  70SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.1N 125.7W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.9N 125.3W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 14.6N 126.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 15.1N 128.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 15.5N 130.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 15.9N 132.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 16.5N 135.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 16.5N 138.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 17.0N 141.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.1N 125.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




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Page last modified: Friday, 01-Aug-2014 14:33:43 UTC