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Tropical Depression NINETEEN-E Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 261441
TCMEP4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINETEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP192016
1500 UTC MON SEP 26 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 139.6W AT 26/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT   4 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 11.6N 139.6W AT 26/1500Z
AT 26/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 11.5N 139.5W

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 12.0N 139.8W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 12.8N 139.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 13.6N 138.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 14.4N 138.2W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 16.1N 138.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 17.2N 139.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 17.3N 142.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 11.6N 139.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN



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Page last modified: Monday, 26-Sep-2016 14:41:21 UTC