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Tropical Storm ISELLE Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 012033
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM ISELLE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092014
2100 UTC FRI AUG 01 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 126.4W AT 01/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  90SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 210SE 120SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 14.5N 126.4W AT 01/2100Z
AT 01/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 14.3N 126.0W

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 14.9N 127.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 15.4N 129.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 15.9N 131.3W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 16.3N 133.2W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 16.6N 136.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  80SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1800Z 16.9N 138.7W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1800Z 17.5N 143.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 14.5N 126.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




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Page last modified: Friday, 01-Aug-2014 20:33:29 UTC