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Tropical Storm GUILLERMO Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ24 KNHC 300838
TCMEP4

TROPICAL STORM GUILLERMO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP092015
0900 UTC THU JUL 30 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.5N 126.3W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR  8.5N 126.3W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR  8.3N 125.7W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z  8.9N 128.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 10.1N 131.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE   0SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 11.2N 134.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  10SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  20SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 12.2N 137.4W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 14.5N 141.6W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 16.3N 144.3W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.0N 146.5W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF  8.5N 126.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA



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Page last modified: Thursday, 30-Jul-2015 08:39:10 UTC