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Hurricane JIMENA Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 310850
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 133.9W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN   5 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  25 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..390NE 270SE 270SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.3N 133.9W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 133.3W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.7N 135.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.3N 137.9W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 16.9N 139.4W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.5N 140.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 18.5N 142.0W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 110NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 19.5N 143.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 20.5N 144.0W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.3N 133.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER LANDSEA



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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Aug-2015 08:50:34 UTC