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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 251434
TCMEP3

HURRICANE GEORGETTE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082016
1500 UTC MON JUL 25 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 127.3W AT 25/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  961 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 105 KT WITH GUSTS TO 130 KT.
64 KT....... 10NE  10SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 127.3W AT 25/1500Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 127.0W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.0N 127.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 18.7N 128.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 10NE  10SE   5SW  10NW.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 19.4N 129.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  10SE   0SW  10NW.
50 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 20.3N 130.6W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 25NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.9N 134.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 22.5N 139.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.5N 127.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




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Page last modified: Monday, 25-Jul-2016 14:34:40 UTC