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Hurricane LESTER Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 270249
TCMEP3

HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
0300 UTC SAT AUG 27 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 116.5W AT 27/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 280 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  987 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  60SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..105NE  75SE  90SW 105NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 116.5W AT 27/0300Z
AT 27/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 116.1W

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.0N 117.7W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 18.1N 119.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 18.2N 122.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 18.2N 124.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 18.5N 130.0W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 31/0000Z 18.5N 136.0W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 18.0N 140.8W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.9N 116.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER AVILA




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Page last modified: Saturday, 27-Aug-2016 02:49:21 UTC