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Tropical Storm MARIE Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 221431
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   3
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
1500 UTC FRI AUG 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 102.5W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  15 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE   0SE   0SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE   0SE   0SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.1N 102.5W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.9N 101.8W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 13.6N 103.9W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT... 70NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.4N 105.9W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE  80SE  60SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 15.2N 107.7W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  10SE  10SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  70SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.9N 109.4W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 17.5N 113.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 19.5N 117.0W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 21.5N 121.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.1N 102.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




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Page last modified: Friday, 22-Aug-2014 14:31:23 UTC