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Tropical Storm MARIE Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 230242
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM MARIE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   5
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132014
0300 UTC SAT AUG 23 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 104.8W AT 23/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  995 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 80NE  50SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE  60SE   0SW 120NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 104.8W AT 23/0300Z
AT 23/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.5N 104.2W

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 14.2N 106.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  10SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 14.9N 108.3W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  15SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  70SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 15.5N 110.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  40SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 16.3N 111.9W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 18.4N 115.2W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 150SE 120SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/0000Z 20.8N 119.2W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0000Z 23.2N 123.8W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 104.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




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Page last modified: Saturday, 23-Aug-2014 02:42:56 UTC