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Tropical Storm HERNAN Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 281435
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM HERNAN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082014
1500 UTC MON JUL 28 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 115.9W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  14 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  996 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  20SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.5N 115.9W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.2N 115.2W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 21.6N 117.8W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 22.9N 120.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  30SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 23.8N 122.2W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 24.0N 123.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 24.0N 125.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z 24.0N 127.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.5N 115.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER ROBERTS




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Page last modified: Monday, 28-Jul-2014 14:36:06 UTC