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Hurricane JIMENA Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 282031
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   9
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
2100 UTC FRI AUG 28 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 123.1W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  972 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  80SE  80SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..150NE  90SE  90SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 123.1W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 122.6W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 12.4N 124.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 12.9N 126.2W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.7N 128.1W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 120SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.6N 130.3W
MAX WIND 125 KT...GUSTS 150 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.2N 135.1W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 17.2N 138.7W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 17.7N 140.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 123.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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Page last modified: Friday, 28-Aug-2015 20:31:18 UTC