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Hurricane JIMENA Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 300845
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  15
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC SUN AUG 30 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 128.4W AT 30/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  947 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 115 KT WITH GUSTS TO 140 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT.......110NE 100SE  90SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 190SE 190SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 13.7N 128.4W AT 30/0900Z
AT 30/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 13.4N 127.8W

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.3N 130.1W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 35NE  30SE  25SW  35NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.1N 132.7W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 15.8N 135.2W
MAX WIND 110 KT...GUSTS 135 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.3N 137.3W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 17.2N 140.2W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 110SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 17.9N 142.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 18.5N 143.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 13.7N 128.4W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



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Page last modified: Sunday, 30-Aug-2015 08:45:30 UTC