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Tropical Storm ROSLYN Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 270832
TCMEP3

TROPICAL STORM ROSLYN FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182016
0900 UTC TUE SEP 27 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 117.7W AT 27/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT.......120NE  90SE  40SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE   0SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.8N 117.7W AT 27/0900Z
AT 27/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.5N 118.0W

FORECAST VALID 27/1800Z 18.7N 117.1W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...120NE  70SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0600Z 20.0N 116.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 28/1800Z 21.3N 116.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 22.3N 117.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 23.5N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  15 KT...GUSTS  20 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0600Z...DISSIPATED

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.8N 117.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 27/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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Page last modified: Tuesday, 27-Sep-2016 08:32:59 UTC