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Hurricane LESTER Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 290851
TCMEP3

HURRICANE LESTER FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132016
0900 UTC MON AUG 29 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 127.8W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  965 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 120 KT.
64 KT....... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT....... 90NE  70SE  50SW  80NW.
12 FT SEAS..180NE 120SE 120SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N 127.8W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.9N 127.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 18.0N 129.9W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  15SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 18.1N 132.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 18.1N 134.9W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 25NE  20SE  15SW  25NW.
50 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 90NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 18.1N 137.2W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 18.2N 141.9W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  40SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE  70SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 18.7N 146.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 20.2N 151.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N 127.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN




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Page last modified: Monday, 29-Aug-2016 08:52:09 UTC