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Hurricane JIMENA Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 290850
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
0900 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 124.8W AT 29/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  938 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..200NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 124.8W AT 29/0900Z
AT 29/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.2N 124.4W

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 12.5N 126.2W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...110NE 100SE  80SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 13.3N 128.2W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 14.2N 130.3W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 45NE  35SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0600Z 15.0N 132.8W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 16.2N 137.2W
MAX WIND 120 KT...GUSTS 145 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 130SE 100SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/0600Z 17.0N 140.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/0600Z 17.7N 141.5W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.3N 124.8W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE



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Page last modified: Saturday, 29-Aug-2015 08:50:19 UTC