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Tropical Depression EIGHTEEN-E Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 251650
TCMEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHTEEN-E SPECIAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP182016
1700 UTC SUN SEP 25 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 119.7W AT 25/1700Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   5 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1006 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N 119.7W AT 25/1700Z
AT 25/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.2N 119.7W

FORECAST VALID 26/0000Z 16.2N 119.6W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 16.8N 119.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 17.4N 119.1W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 18.5N 118.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/1200Z 21.0N 117.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 29/1200Z 23.0N 118.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 30/1200Z 24.5N 119.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N 119.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 25/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN