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Hurricane JIMENA Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTPZ23 KNHC 291433
TCMEP3

HURRICANE JIMENA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP132015
1500 UTC SAT AUG 29 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 125.6W AT 29/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 275 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  936 MB
EYE DIAMETER  10 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 130 KT WITH GUSTS TO 160 KT.
64 KT....... 25NE  20SE  20SW  25NW.
50 KT....... 50NE  50SE  30SW  50NW.
34 KT.......100NE  90SE  80SW 100NW.
12 FT SEAS..210NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.5N 125.6W AT 29/1500Z
AT 29/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.3N 125.1W

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 13.0N 127.0W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  25SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 60NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 100SE  80SW 110NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 13.9N 129.1W
MAX WIND 140 KT...GUSTS 170 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  35NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 14.7N 131.5W
MAX WIND 135 KT...GUSTS 165 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  35SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT... 70NE  60SE  50SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 15.4N 133.9W
MAX WIND 130 KT...GUSTS 160 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 16.5N 137.9W
MAX WIND 115 KT...GUSTS 140 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 110SW 140NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 150 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1200Z 17.1N 140.5W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 17.6N 142.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.5N 125.6W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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Page last modified: Saturday, 29-Aug-2015 14:33:24 UTC