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Tropical Storm LOWELL Forecast Advisory


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ZCZC MIATCMEP2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM

TROPICAL STORM LOWELL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  19
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP122014
1500 UTC FRI AUG 22 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 124.1W AT 22/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 315 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  993 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 80NE  70SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......160NE 140SE 140SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 360SE 270SW 270NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 22.1N 124.1W AT 22/1500Z
AT 22/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 123.9W

FORECAST VALID 23/0000Z 23.1N 125.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 24.3N 126.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...140NE 120SE 100SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 25.1N 127.9W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...120NE 110SE  90SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 25.9N 129.1W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 27.2N 131.6W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 26/1200Z 29.1N 135.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 31.0N 139.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 22.1N 124.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 22/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN


NNNN


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Page last modified: Friday, 22-Aug-2014 14:34:04 UTC