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Hurricane KARINA Forecast Advisory


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000
WTPZ21 KNHC 231436
TCMEP1

HURRICANE KARINA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  43
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
1500 UTC SAT AUG 23 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 134.1W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  40 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  988 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT.......  0NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT....... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 180SE 120SW 150NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 134.1W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.0N 134.4W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 17.6N 133.1W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT...  0NE  10SE  10SW   0NW.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  20NW.
34 KT... 50NE  70SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 18.2N 131.6W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE  30SW  10NW.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 18.7N 129.9W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW   0NW.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 19.0N 129.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 20.3N 129.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 125 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 175 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 20.8N 130.4W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 21.0N 131.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.2N 134.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI





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Page last modified: Saturday, 23-Aug-2014 14:36:26 UTC