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Hurricane Maria Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT25 KNHC 231453
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  30
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
1500 UTC SAT SEP 23 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN THE BAHAMAS AND ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC
COASTS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  72.3W AT 23/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  952 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 100 KT WITH GUSTS TO 125 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT.......170NE 170SE 100SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..300NE 300SE 150SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.4N  72.3W AT 23/1500Z
AT 23/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.0N  72.2W

FORECAST VALID 24/0000Z 26.7N  72.6W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  60SW  70NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 110SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 24/1200Z 28.3N  73.0W
MAX WIND 105 KT...GUSTS 130 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  45SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0000Z 29.5N  73.3W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  50SE  40SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 130SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1200Z 30.5N  73.4W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...170NE 170SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 32.1N  73.4W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...180NE 180SE 150SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 27/1200Z 33.5N  73.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 28/1200Z 34.5N  72.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.4N  72.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 23/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG



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Page last modified: Saturday, 23-Sep-2017 14:53:42 UTC