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Hurricane Maria Forecast Advisory (Text)


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HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  40
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
0300 UTC TUE SEP 26 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT... 

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* BOGUE INLET TO THE NORTH CAROLINA/VIRGINIA BORDER
* ALBEMARLE AND PAMLICO SOUNDS

A STORM SURGE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE LOOKOUT TO DUCK

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA.

A STORM SURGE WATCH MEANS THERE IS A POSSIBILITY OF LIFE-
THREATENING INUNDATION... FROM RISING WATER MOVING INLAND FROM THE
COASTLINE... IN THE INDICATED LOCATIONS DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS.
FOR A DEPICTION OF AREAS AT RISK... PLEASE SEE THE NATIONAL WEATHER
SERVICE STORM SURGE WATCH/WARNING GRAPHIC... AVAILABLE AT
HURRICANES.GOV.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  73.1W AT 26/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  969 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT.......120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..420NE 330SE 300SW 300NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  73.1W AT 26/0300Z
AT 26/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 32.0N  73.0W

FORECAST VALID 26/1200Z 33.2N  73.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...190NE 190SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0000Z 34.1N  73.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 90NE  90SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 120SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/1200Z 35.0N  73.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 28/0000Z 35.5N  72.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  90SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 160SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 36.5N  68.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE 100SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 180SW 150NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 30/0000Z 40.0N  57.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 01/0000Z 47.0N  40.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N  73.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 26/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 26-Sep-2017 02:42:12 UTC