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Hurricane Maria Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT25 KNHC 240855
TCMAT5

HURRICANE MARIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  33
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL152017
0900 UTC SUN SEP 24 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS ALONG THE CAROLINA AND MID-ATLANTIC COASTS SHOULD MONITOR
THE PROGRESS OF MARIA.  TROPICAL STORM OR HURRICANE WATCHES MAY BE
NEEDED FOR A PORTION OF THE COAST LATER TODAY.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  72.7W AT 24/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 355 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  948 MB
EYE DIAMETER  30 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 50NE  40SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT.......100NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......210NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 240SW 360NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.9N  72.7W AT 24/0900Z
AT 24/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 27.5N  72.5W

FORECAST VALID 24/1800Z 28.9N  72.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  45SE  35SW  45NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/0600Z 30.1N  73.0W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  70SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 120SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 25/1800Z 31.2N  73.1W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 55NE  50SE  45SW  50NW.
50 KT...100NE  90SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 130SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 26/0600Z 32.1N  73.2W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT...100NE 100SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 27/0600Z 34.0N  73.5W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
50 KT...110NE 110SE  80SW  90NW.
34 KT...200NE 200SE 150SW 160NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 28/0600Z 35.0N  72.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 29/0600Z 36.0N  69.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.9N  72.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 24/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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Page last modified: Sunday, 24-Sep-2017 08:56:29 UTC