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Tropical Storm HERMINE Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT24 KNHC 010249
TCMAT4

TROPICAL STORM HERMINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  14
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
0300 UTC THU SEP 01 2016

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FROM THE SUWANNEE RIVER WESTWARD
TO MEXICO BEACH FLORIDA. THE TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN EXTENDED
NORTHWARD FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA TO THE SOUTH SANTEE
RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SUWANNEE RIVER TO MEXICO BEACH

A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO DESTIN

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* ANCLOTE RIVER TO SUWANNEE RIVER
* WEST OF MEXICO BEACH TO DESTIN

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* MARINELAND FLORIDA TO SOUTH SANTEE RIVER

INTERESTS ALONG THE UNITED STATES EAST COAST ELSEWHERE IN THE
CAROLINAS SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  87.0W AT 01/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR  25 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  998 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  50 KT WITH GUSTS TO  60 KT.
50 KT....... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT.......110NE 110SE  90SW   0NW.
12 FT SEAS..120NE 120SE  30SW   0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 25.8N  87.0W AT 01/0300Z
AT 01/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 25.5N  87.1W

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 26.9N  86.4W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  40SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 28.7N  85.4W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
50 KT... 60NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  90SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 30.7N  83.8W...INLAND
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  80SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT...110NE 120SE  90SW  20NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 32.8N  81.4W...INLAND
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...110NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 37.0N  76.3W...POST-TROP/INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...110NE 140SE   0SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0000Z 39.0N  74.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 39.0N  71.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 25.8N  87.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART




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