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Hurricane CRISTOBAL Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT24 KNHC 281444
TCMAT4

HURRICANE CRISTOBAL FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042014
1500 UTC THU AUG 28 2014

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

THE BERMUDA WEATHER SERVICE HAS DISCONTINUED THE TROPICAL STORM
WATCH FOR BERMUDA.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

NONE

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N  65.9W AT 28/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  50 DEGREES AT  23 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  983 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  65 KT WITH GUSTS TO  80 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 100SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE  60SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 300SE 300SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.9N  65.9W AT 28/1500Z
AT 28/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  67.1W

FORECAST VALID 29/0000Z 39.7N  59.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  40SW  30NW.
34 KT...180NE 200SE  80SW  70NW.

FORECAST VALID 29/1200Z 43.8N  51.2W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  70SE  30SW  20NW.
50 KT...100NE 140SE  80SW  40NW.
34 KT...200NE 240SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0000Z 48.0N  43.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 60NE  80SE  30SW   0NW.
50 KT...120NE 140SE  90SW  60NW.
34 KT...210NE 250SE 200SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1200Z 51.5N  36.5W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT...120NE 140SE 160SW 160NW.
34 KT...220NE 270SE 250SW 220NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 61.1N  25.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT...240NE 200SE 200SW 240NW.
34 KT...420NE 420SE 320SW 360NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1200Z...MERGED WITH ANOTHER EXTRATROPICAL LOW

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.9N  65.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 28/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN




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Page last modified: Thursday, 28-Aug-2014 14:45:00 UTC