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Tropical Depression NINE Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT24 KNHC 282046
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
2100 UTC SUN AUG 28 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  81.7W AT 28/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST OR 270 DEGREES AT   8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1009 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  81.7W AT 28/2100Z
AT 28/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.7N  81.7W

FORECAST VALID 29/0600Z 23.9N  83.6W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 29/1800Z 24.3N  85.4W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/0600Z 24.6N  86.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE   0SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 30/1800Z 25.1N  87.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 26.8N  87.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  40SW  50NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 01/1800Z 29.0N  84.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 02/1800Z 31.0N  80.0W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.7N  81.7W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 29/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BRENNAN




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Page last modified: Sunday, 28-Aug-2016 20:47:04 UTC