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Tropical Depression NINE Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT24 KNHC 301446
TCMAT4

TROPICAL DEPRESSION NINE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   8
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL092016
1500 UTC TUE AUG 30 2016

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

INTERESTS IN CENTRAL AND NORTHERN FLORIDA...AND SOUTHEASTERN
GEORGIA SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  87.2W AT 30/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT   6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 24.0N  87.2W AT 30/1500Z
AT 30/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 23.9N  86.9W

FORECAST VALID 31/0000Z 24.5N  87.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 30NE  50SE   0SW   0NW.

FORECAST VALID 31/1200Z 25.4N  87.4W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  60SE   0SW  30NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0000Z 26.9N  86.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1200Z 28.5N  84.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  20SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 31.6N  79.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE  30SE   0SW   0NW.
34 KT... 60NE  80SE  40SW  40NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 03/1200Z 34.0N  72.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 04/1200Z 36.5N  66.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 24.0N  87.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 30/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER PASCH




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Page last modified: Tuesday, 30-Aug-2016 14:47:11 UTC