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Tropical Storm Jose Forecast Advisory (Text)


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TROPICAL STORM JOSE FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  61
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL122017
1500 UTC WED SEP 20 2017

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* WOODS HOLE TO SAGAMORE BEACH...INCLUDING CAPE COD
* BLOCK ISLAND
* MARTHA'S VINEYARD
* NANTUCKET

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN
THE NEXT 12 TO 24 HOURS.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  70.0W AT 20/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  35 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  976 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......180NE 180SE 160SW 160NW.
12 FT SEAS..330NE 300SE 300SW 180NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 39.0N  70.0W AT 20/1500Z
AT 20/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 38.8N  70.2W

FORECAST VALID 21/0000Z 39.5N  69.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 160SE 160SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 21/1200Z 39.8N  68.1W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT...  0NE   0SE   0SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 150SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/0000Z 39.6N  68.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 140SW 180NW.

FORECAST VALID 22/1200Z 39.5N  69.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 120SE 140SW 160NW.

FORECAST VALID 23/1200Z 39.3N  70.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  70SE 100SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 24/1200Z 39.3N  70.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 25/1200Z 39.3N  70.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 39.0N  70.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI


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Page last modified: Wednesday, 20-Sep-2017 14:32:55 UTC