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Hurricane EDOUARD Forecast Advisory


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000
WTNT21 KNHC 162048
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
2100 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  57.5W AT 16/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR   5 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT....... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT.......160NE 150SE 130SW 120NW.
12 FT SEAS..280NE 290SE 230SW 220NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 32.3N  57.5W AT 16/2100Z
AT 16/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.7N  57.7W

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.3N  56.0W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  45SE  25SW  25NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 140SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 37.2N  52.4W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 90NE 100SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...140NE 160SE 160SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 39.7N  47.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  60NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1800Z 40.9N  42.2W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 70NE  80SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...120NE 150SE 160SW 100NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 40.2N  37.3W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE 150SE 180SW 120NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/1800Z 39.4N  34.6W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1800Z 36.0N  33.0W...POST-TROP/EXTRATROP
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 32.3N  57.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/0300Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE





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Page last modified: Tuesday, 16-Sep-2014 20:48:14 UTC