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Hurricane EDOUARD Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT21 KNHC 160844
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  20
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0900 UTC TUE SEP 16 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  57.3W AT 16/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR 340 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  963 MB
EYE DIAMETER  20 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  95 KT WITH GUSTS TO 115 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  30SE  30SW  40NW.
50 KT....... 80NE  60SE  60SW  80NW.
34 KT.......150NE 130SE 130SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..240NE 240SE 210SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 30.2N  57.3W AT 16/0900Z
AT 16/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 29.6N  57.2W

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.7N  57.4W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  70SE  70SW  80NW.
34 KT...150NE 140SE 140SW 150NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.3N  56.0W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  40SW  50NW.
50 KT... 90NE  90SE  80SW  80NW.
34 KT...140NE 170SE 160SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/1800Z 37.1N  52.7W
MAX WIND  90 KT...GUSTS 110 KT.
64 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  40NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...140NE 170SE 180SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 39.5N  48.2W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS 100 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  80SW  70NW.
34 KT...130NE 170SE 180SW 130NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 41.3N  39.5W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 50NE  60SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...100NE 150SE 150SW 100NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 40.5N  35.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 21/0600Z 38.5N  32.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 30.2N  57.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




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Page last modified: Tuesday, 16-Sep-2014 08:44:53 UTC