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Hurricane EDOUARD Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT21 KNHC 171454
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  25
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
1500 UTC WED SEP 17 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  53.3W AT 17/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  10 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR  45 DEGREES AT  21 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  958 MB
EYE DIAMETER  15 NM
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  80 KT WITH GUSTS TO 100 KT.
64 KT....... 40NE  60SE  60SW   0NW.
50 KT....... 90NE 120SE  70SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 180SE 140SW  90NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 350SE 240SW 330NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 36.4N  53.3W AT 17/1500Z
AT 17/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 35.7N  54.5W

FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 38.3N  49.9W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  60SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 80NE 110SE  70SW  40NW.
34 KT...140NE 180SE 150SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/1200Z 39.8N  44.7W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  50SE  40SW   0NW.
50 KT... 70NE 100SE  60SW  40NW.
34 KT...130NE 160SE 140SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/0000Z 40.1N  40.7W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 60NE  70SE  50SW  40NW.
34 KT...110NE 130SE 110SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 19/1200Z 39.7N  38.7W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 20/1200Z 39.4N  35.8W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT...  0NE  50SE  50SW   0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 21/1200Z 37.5N  33.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 22/1200Z 34.5N  33.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 36.4N  53.3W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 17/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BLAKE




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Page last modified: Wednesday, 17-Sep-2014 14:55:26 UTC