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Tropical Storm FRED Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT21 KNHC 011436
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
1500 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNING IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  27.0W AT 01/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  25 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT   9 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  60SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.3N  27.0W AT 01/1500Z
AT 01/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 18.1N  26.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/0000Z 19.0N  28.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N  30.0W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  30SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.5N  31.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.1N  33.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1200Z 22.8N  36.2W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/1200Z 24.4N  38.9W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/1200Z 26.5N  40.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.3N  27.0W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/2100Z

$$
FORECASTER BROWN



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Page last modified: Tuesday, 01-Sep-2015 14:36:44 UTC