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Tropical Storm FRED Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT21 KNHC 010848
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  10
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC TUE SEP 01 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* SAO VICENTE...SAO NICOLAU...SANTO ANTAO...AND SANTA LUZIA IN THE
CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING WILL LIKELY BE DISCONTINUED BY THIS
AFTERNOON.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  26.1W AT 01/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 300 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE   0SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  40SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..125NE  75SE  60SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 18.0N  26.1W AT 01/0900Z
AT 01/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.8N  25.7W

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 18.8N  27.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  30SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.7N  29.2W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/1800Z 20.3N  30.7W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 21.0N  32.3W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 22.3N  35.5W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 23.7N  38.6W
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0600Z 26.0N  40.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 18.0N  26.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 01/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



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Page last modified: Tuesday, 01-Sep-2015 08:49:09 UTC