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000
WTNT21 KNHC 030845
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  18
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC THU SEP 03 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  33.2W AT 03/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT   7 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  40 KT WITH GUSTS TO  50 KT.
34 KT....... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 75NE  45SE   0SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 20.8N  33.2W AT 03/0900Z
AT 03/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N  32.9W

FORECAST VALID 03/1800Z 21.4N  34.5W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  40SE   0SW  40NW.

FORECAST VALID 04/0600Z 21.9N  36.1W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/1800Z 22.2N  37.8W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0600Z 22.6N  39.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

FORECAST VALID 06/0600Z 24.0N  41.5W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0600Z 26.5N  41.7W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 08/0600Z 28.8N  40.3W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 20.8N  33.2W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 03/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



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Page last modified: Thursday, 03-Sep-2015 08:45:51 UTC