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Hurricane FRED Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT21 KNHC 310834
TCMAT1

HURRICANE FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   6
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0900 UTC MON AUG 31 2015

CHANGES IN WATCHES AND WARNINGS WITH THIS ADVISORY...

NONE.

SUMMARY OF WATCHES AND WARNINGS IN EFFECT...
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR...
* CAPE VERDE ISLANDS

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
SOMEWHERE WITHIN THE WARNING AREA...IN THIS CASE WITHIN THE NEXT
12 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED
TO COMPLETION.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  22.9W AT 31/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  20 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  10 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  989 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  70 KT WITH GUSTS TO  85 KT.
64 KT....... 15NE  10SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT....... 40NE  40SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE  90SE  30SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 15.6N  22.9W AT 31/0900Z
AT 31/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 15.3N  22.5W

FORECAST VALID 31/1800Z 16.6N  24.3W
MAX WIND  75 KT...GUSTS  90 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  20SW  40NW.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  50SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/0600Z 17.9N  26.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 01/1800Z 19.0N  28.0W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 15NE  15SE  10SW  15NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT... 80NE  80SE  60SW  80NW.

FORECAST VALID 02/0600Z 19.7N  29.8W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0600Z 20.8N  33.4W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 90NE  90SE  60SW  90NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 04/0600Z 22.0N  36.9W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 05/0600Z 23.0N  40.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 15.6N  22.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 31/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER STEWART



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Page last modified: Monday, 31-Aug-2015 08:34:59 UTC