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Hurricane EDOUARD Forecast Advisory (Text)


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000
WTNT21 KNHC 150853
TCMAT1

HURRICANE EDOUARD FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  16
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062014
0900 UTC MON SEP 15 2014

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

HURRICANE CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  54.5W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  15 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 305 DEGREES AT  13 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  966 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  90 KT WITH GUSTS TO 110 KT.
64 KT....... 30NE  20SE  10SW  20NW.
50 KT....... 60NE  60SE  30SW  40NW.
34 KT.......150NE 100SE  80SW 150NW.
12 FT SEAS..270NE 180SE 150SW 240NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 26.9N  54.5W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.5N  54.0W

FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 27.9N  55.8W
MAX WIND  95 KT...GUSTS 115 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  30SE  20SW  30NW.
50 KT... 70NE  70SE  40SW  50NW.
34 KT...150NE 120SE  90SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 29.6N  57.1W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  40SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  80SE  50SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 140SE 110SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 31.6N  57.2W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
64 KT... 40NE  50SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  60SW  50NW.
34 KT...170NE 160SE 130SW 140NW.

FORECAST VALID 17/0600Z 34.1N  55.7W
MAX WIND 100 KT...GUSTS 120 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 170SE 150SW 120NW.

FORECAST VALID 18/0600Z 39.1N  48.3W
MAX WIND  85 KT...GUSTS 105 KT.
50 KT... 80NE  90SE  70SW  50NW.
34 KT...160NE 180SE 160SW 130NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 19/0600Z 41.0N  40.0W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 20/0600Z 40.5N  35.5W...POST-TROPICAL
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 26.9N  54.5W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z

$$
FORECASTER BERG




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Page last modified: Monday, 15-Sep-2014 08:54:08 UTC