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000
WTNT21 KNHC 020241
TCMAT1

TROPICAL STORM FRED FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  13
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL062015
0300 UTC WED SEP 02 2015

THERE ARE NO COASTAL WATCHES OR WARNINGS IN EFFECT.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  29.1W AT 02/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 295 DEGREES AT  11 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1003 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  45 KT WITH GUSTS TO  55 KT.
34 KT....... 70NE  40SE  40SW  70NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  45SE  30SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 19.4N  29.1W AT 02/0300Z
AT 02/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 19.1N  28.6W

FORECAST VALID 02/1200Z 19.8N  30.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 60NE  30SE  30SW  60NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/0000Z 20.4N  31.8W
MAX WIND  35 KT...GUSTS  45 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  20SE  20SW  50NW.

FORECAST VALID 03/1200Z 21.0N  33.3W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 04/0000Z 21.4N  34.9W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 05/0000Z 22.0N  38.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 150 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 200 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 15 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 06/0000Z 23.0N  41.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS  35 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 07/0000Z 25.0N  43.0W...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
MAX WIND  20 KT...GUSTS  30 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 19.4N  29.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 02/0900Z

$$
FORECASTER BEVEN



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Page last modified: Wednesday, 02-Sep-2015 02:41:16 UTC