Post-Tropical Cyclone JOVA Forecast Discussion

000
WTPZ45 KNHC 130232
TCDEP5

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE JOVA DISCUSSION NUMBER  29
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP102011
800 PM PDT WED OCT 12 2011

SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATES THAT JOVA LACKS SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED
DEEP CONVECTION TO QUALIFY AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE.  IN FACT...IT MAY
NO LONGER HAVE A SURFACE CIRCULATION SINCE THE ROTATION SEEN ON THE
SATELLITE ANIMATIONS MIGHT BE ONLY THAT OF A VORTEX ALOFT. 
ADVISORIES ON JOVA ARE BEING TERMINATED AT THIS TIME.

THE REMNANT OF JOVA SHOULD DRIFT NORTHEASTWARD UNTIL DISSIPATION
WITHIN A DAY OR LESS...AND COULD PRODUCE SOME ADDITIONAL HEAVY
RAINS OVER PORTIONS OF WESTERN MEXICO.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  13/0300Z 21.7N 104.2W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  13/1200Z 22.0N 104.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  14/0000Z...DISSIPATED

$$
FORECASTER PASCH