Post-Tropical Cyclone DOUGLAS Forecast Discussion
WTPZ44 KNHC 051510
POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE DOUGLAS DISCUSSION NUMBER 28...CORRECTED
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP042014
800 AM PDT SAT JUL 05 2014
Corrected capitalization in last paragraph.
Douglas remains devoid of deep convection, and since the sea
surface temperatures are below 22 deg C, there is little likelihood
of the system making a comeback. Therefore the system is being
declared a remnant low, and this is the last advisory. The large
circulation has been slow to spin down, but gradual weakening is
anticipated with the cyclone expected to dissipate in about 72
The initial motion continues northwestward at about 8 kt.
Post-tropical cyclone Douglas should continue to be steered by the
flow on the south side of a low- to mid-level subtropical ridge.
The track guidance generally shows a turn toward the west-northwest
with a slight decrease in forward speed over the next couple of
days, and so does the official forecast.
For additional information on the remnant low of Douglas, please see
High Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under
AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN01 KWBC.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INIT 05/1500Z 23.7N 120.1W 30 KT 35 MPH
12H 06/0000Z 24.4N 121.1W 30 KT 35 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
24H 06/1200Z 25.4N 122.4W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
36H 07/0000Z 26.1N 123.4W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
48H 07/1200Z 26.5N 124.5W 20 KT 25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW