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Post-Tropical Cyclone EIGHT-E Forecast Discussion (Text)


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000
WTPZ43 KNHC 301438
TCDEP3

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER  12
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082015
800 AM PDT THU JUL 30 2015

Tropical Depression Eight-E has been devoid of organized deep
convection near the center for more than 18 hours, except for an
isolated thunderstorm that has recently developed just south of the
well-defined circulation center.  However, the main band of
convection is located in the northeastern quadrant, but it is more
than 200 n mi from the center.  Therefore, this system no longer
meets the criteria of a tropical cyclone; it is being designated
as a remnant low, and advisories are being discontinued at this
time.  The initial intensity remains at 25 kt based on an earlier
RapidSCAT overpass. Since the remnant low is heading toward a more
hostile environment, the new NHC official forecast is similar to the
previous advisory, calling for dissipation in about 24 hours.

The remnant low is moving at 270/11 kt. This general motion should
continue today, followed by a turn toward the west-southwest by
Friday morning. The remnant low is forecast to cross into the
Central Pacific Hurricane Center's area of responsibility within the
next couple of hours.

For additional information on this remnant low please see High Seas
Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service, under AWIPS
header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN02 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  30/1500Z 16.5N 139.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  31/0000Z 16.3N 141.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  31/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Stewart


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Page last modified: Thursday, 30-Jul-2015 14:38:15 UTC