| HOME | ARCHIVES | FORECASTS | IMAGERY | ABOUT NHC | RECONNAISSANCE |

Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Forecast Discussion (Text)


Home   Public Adv   Fcst Adv   Discussion   Wind Probs   Graphics   Archive  


000
WTPZ43 KNHC 290833
TCDEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082015
200 AM PDT WED JUL 29 2015

Microwave data show that the depression continues to be sheared
with the low-level center located to the northwest of a patch of
deep convection. Dvorak estimates from both TAFB and SAB support
keeping the depression at 30 kt at this time. Although the shear is
forecast to decrease, the depression is moving toward a dry and
stable environment. Consequently, the NHC forecast calls for
dissipation in about 48 hours. This is consistent with the trend of
the global models and the intensity consensus. In fact, global
models depict the cyclone as a westward moving trough by 48 hours.

The depression is moving toward the west or 270 degrees at 10 kt.
Because the depression is forecast to weaken and become a shallow
cyclone, it is expected to be steered westward by the prevailing
low-level flow until dissipation.  There are no important changes to
the previous forecast.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  29/0900Z 16.9N 132.5W   30 KT  35 MPH
 12H  29/1800Z 16.9N 134.3W   30 KT  35 MPH
 24H  30/0600Z 16.9N 136.9W   30 KT  35 MPH
 36H  30/1800Z 16.7N 140.0W   25 KT  30 MPH
 48H  31/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Avila


Standard version of this page

Alternate Formats
About Alternates - E-Mail Advisories - RSS Feeds

Cyclone Forecasts
Latest Advisory - Past Advisories - About Advisories

Marine Forecasts
Latest Products - About Marine Products

Tools & Data
Satellite Imagery - US Weather Radar - Aircraft Recon - Local Data Archive - Forecast Verification - Deadliest/Costliest/Most Intense

Learn About Hurricanes
Storm Names Wind Scale - Prepare - Climatology - NHC Glossary - NHC Acronyms - Frequently Asked Questions - AOML Hurricane-Research Division

About Us
About NHC - Mission/Vision - Other NCEP Centers - NHC Staff - Visitor Information - NHC Library

Contact Us


NOAA/ National Weather Service
National Centers for Environmental Prediction
National Hurricane Center
11691 SW 17th Street
Miami, Florida, 33165-2149 USA
nhcwebmaster@noaa.gov
Disclaimer
Privacy Policy
Credits
About Us
Glossary
Career Opportunities
Page last modified: Wednesday, 29-Jul-2015 08:33:40 UTC