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Remnants of Pilar Forecast Discussion (Text)


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000
WTPZ43 KNHC 252034
TCDEP3

Remnants Of Pilar Discussion Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       EP182017
300 PM MDT Mon Sep 25 2017

GOES-16 visible imagery along with ASCAT scatterometer data
indicate that Pilar has degenerated into a trough of low pressure
extending from the southern tip of the Baja California peninsula and
the coast of western Mexico.  This is the last advisory issued on
Pilar.  The highest winds remaining in association with Pilar's
remnants are 20 kt, as observed by the scatterometer.

Some deep convection remains in association with the remnants of
Pilar along the coast of western Mexico and inland.  The main hazard
associated with the remnants of Pilar will be heavy rainfall, which
could trigger life-threatening flash floods and mudslides over the
states of northern Nayarit, the southern portion of Sinaloa, and the
southwestern portion of Durango during the next day or so.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  25/2100Z 23.8N 107.1W   20 KT  25 MPH...REMNANTS
 12H  26/0600Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Landsea


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Page last modified: Monday, 25-Sep-2017 20:35:11 UTC