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Tropical Depression EIGHT-E Forecast Discussion (Text)


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000
WTPZ43 KNHC 300836
TCDEP3

TROPICAL DEPRESSION EIGHT-E DISCUSSION NUMBER  11
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP082015
200 AM PDT THU JUL 30 2015

The depression is devoid of deep convection, and is basically a
tight swirl of low clouds. The initial intensity has been lowered to
25 kt based on decreasing Dvorak numbers from both TAFB and SAB. The
depression is heading toward a hostile environment, and the official
forecast calls for dissipation in about 36 hours, but this could
occur later today.

The shallow depression is moving toward the west at 13 kt. The
depression is expected to continue on this general track steered
by the low-level trade winds until dissipation. The depression or
its remnants are forecast to cross into the Central Pacific
Hurricane Center's area of responsibility later today.


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  30/0900Z 16.5N 138.5W   25 KT  30 MPH
 12H  30/1800Z 16.3N 140.8W   25 KT  30 MPH
 24H  31/0600Z 16.0N 143.8W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  31/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Avila


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Page last modified: Thursday, 30-Jul-2015 08:36:41 UTC