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Post-Tropical Cyclone KARINA Forecast Discussion (Text)


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000
WTPZ41 KNHC 270233
TCDEP1

POST-TROPICAL CYCLONE KARINA DISCUSSION NUMBER  57
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       EP112014
800 PM PDT TUE AUG 26 2014

Karina hasn't been producing a significant mass of deep convection
for 12-18 hours, and the last few visible images of the day suggest
that the circulation is already becoming stretched due to its
proximity to Hurricane Marie.  Therefore, Karina is being declared
a remnant low, and this is the last advisory.  The official
forecast shows the low opening up into a trough by 36 hours, but
this could occur earlier.

Karina has turned southeastward, or 135/4 kt.  The remnant low will
turn eastward and east-northeastward during the next day as it moves
within the southern part of Marie's circulation.

For additional information on the remnant low please see High
Seas Forecasts issued by the National Weather Service...under
AWIPS header NFDHSFEPI and WMO header FZPN01 KWBC.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  27/0300Z 15.9N 126.5W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 12H  27/1200Z 15.7N 125.4W   25 KT  30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 24H  28/0000Z 16.3N 124.0W   20 KT  25 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW
 36H  28/1200Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Berg



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Page last modified: Wednesday, 27-Aug-2014 02:33:31 UTC