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Remnants of DANIELLE Forecast Discussion (Text)


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000
WTNT44 KNHC 210831
TCDAT4

REMNANTS OF DANIELLE DISCUSSION NUMBER   7
NWS NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL       AL042016
400 AM CDT TUE JUN 21 2016

Surface data over east-central Mexico indicate that Danielle no
longer has a well-defined low-level circulation.  Satellite imagery
also shows that deep convection, primarily associated with the
cyclone's mid-level center, has also vanished overnight.  Therefore
Danielle is declared dissipated, and this is the last advisory.
Global models show the remnants of Danielle quickly moving west-
southwestward or southwestward across south-central and southwestern
Mexico today to the south of a strong mid-level ridge of high
pressure centered over the southwestern United States.  The
remnants could emerge in the eastern Pacific waters to the southwest
of Mexico on Wednesday before losing their identity.

Danielle's remnants should continue to produce heavy rains over
portions of south-central and southwestern Mexico today, especially
around the time of peak diurnal heating.  These rains could cause
localized flash flooding and mud slides across the region.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  21/0900Z 20.6N  99.3W   20 KT  25 MPH...REMNANTS
 12H  21/1800Z...DISSIPATED

$$
Forecaster Kimberlain


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Page last modified: Tuesday, 21-Jun-2016 08:31:23 UTC