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Remnants of Philippe Forecast Discussion (Text)


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000
WTNT43 KNHC 292032
TCDAT3

Remnants Of Philippe Discussion Number   9
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL       AL182017
500 PM EDT Sun Oct 29 2017

During the past few hours, strong vertical wind shear in excess of
50 kt, plus merger with a cold front, has taken its toll on
Philippe's previously well-defined low-level circulation. The system
has become elongated north-to-south within the frontal zone, and a
new low-level center may have developed about 150 nmi farther north
along the frontal boundary near NOAA buoy 41002. Now that Philippe
has lost any tropical or subtropical characteristics due to merger
with a synoptic-scale cold front, the system is declared to have
dissipated.

Much of the latent heat and deep convection associated with
Philippe's remnants will likely be drawn into a larger extratropical
low pressure that is developing near the outer banks of North
Carolina, aiding in that intensification process. Although the
developing powerful low near the Outer Banks is not directly
associated with Philippe, interests along the mid-Atlantic and
southern New England coasts should closely monitor forecast products
issued by the NOAA Weather Prediction Center, NOAA Ocean Prediction
Center, and your local National Weather Service forecast office.

FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INIT  29/2100Z 31.0N  75.0W   50 KT  60 MPH
 12H  30/0600Z...ABSORBED BY FRONTAL SYSTEM

$$
Forecaster Stewart


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Page last modified: Sunday, 29-Oct-2017 20:32:46 UTC